Wednesday, February 11, 2015

THE NUMBERS ARE IN FOR 2014--PRICES WERE UP, VOLUME DOWN--BUT DON'T EXPRECT THAT TREND TO CONTINUE IN 2015

The New Year, that is 2015, has started with a much bigger bang than 2014 did.  In fact, it started to pick up at the end of 2014.  The total number of sales for November, 2014 (condos, single-family resale and new homes) totaled 15,643 for all of So Cal. (This includes Ventura, LA, OC, San Bernardino, Riverside, and San Diego.)  That number jumped an astonishing amount to 19,205 for December 2014, a 22.8% jump.  So you can imagine how anemic  the numbers were all year as the total for Orange County for 2014 was 33,844, down 8.2% from 2013's total.  That number was for all homes as stated above.  The median price, meanwhile, hit $585,000 and that was up 9.3% from 2013.  This completed two back to back years of fairly rapid appreciation gains, and experts rightly predicted a heavy slowdown, which actually started last winter, with appreciation steadily dropping all last year.  There was a total of 20,496 single-family resale, 9,166 condos sold and 4,182 new homes.  This year already is showing strong signs of volume recovery as interest rates promise to stay down...for now.  But many buyers are getting the message loud and clear from the Fed, that rates will probably rise sometime this summer.  This is a strong motivating factor for "fence sitters", who are waiting for that perfect time to buy.  The perfect time to buy is when you are financially and emotionally motivated, don't worry about the market,  but in particular, inventory is expected to strengthen this spring as more and more sellers are able and willing to sell, having enjoyed two strong years of equity growth.  You can expect to see our strongest "move up" market in over 7 years as people who want to do something, as well as those who have to do something, all enter the market.

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